Estimation of the drug trade in the Czech Republic

Speaker: Jiri Vopravil (Czech Statistical Office, Czech Republic)

The estimation of drug trade in the Czech Republic was made from the demand side, which is based on drug consumption. The first step is based on the estimation of drug users and their consumption in quantities (grams, pieces) by the main drugs used in the Czech Republic (cannabis drugs, pervitin, cocaine, ecstasy, LSD, heroin). The next step is the estimation of where the drugs are coming from (domestic production, import, export of domestic production) with use of drug purities. The final estimate is the use of drug prices (wholesale, retail) and the conversion of physical indicators into financial indicators, which are possible to use in the system of national accounts (production, intermediate consumption, export/import, final consumption of households, trade margin). It is then possible to estimate the value added, which is comparable figure with GDP. If the drug trade will be included in the national accounts (from 2011), then value added from drug trade in the Czech Republic will be 0.2 % of GDP. A specific calculation was made for the region Prague.

CV: Jiri Vopravil was born in 1968. Education: Degree in Economic Statistics on the Prague University of Economics; doctoral thesis on the estimation of drug trade as a part of non-observed economy. Career: Since 1996 employed by the Czech Statistical Office; cooperation with EMCDDA National Focal Point in the Czech Republic, and with the Center for Addictology at the Department of Psychiatry of the 1st Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague and General Teaching Hospital in Prague; several publications and conference presentations on themes of economic aspects of the drugs trade and public expenditures on drug policy.